News 
 National Rural News 
 Agribusiness and General 
 General 
 Climate needs "science" focus 

Climate needs "science" focus

19 Mar, 2010 01:29 PM
CAUGHT off-balance by the politicisation of climate science, Australia’s major climate agencies are trying to wrest the global warming debate away from opinion columns, blog sites and the front steps of Parliament House, and bring it all back to the science.

In a joint statement released earlier this week, CSIRO and the Bureau of Meterology (BoM) outlined afresh the underlying fact that Australia’s climate has warmed since the late 1950s, in accord with the global average, and that warming can be “very likely” attributed to human activity.

The six-page statement concisely presented the likely indicators of human-induced climate change:

  • across Australia, temperature stations have recorded warming over the past 50 years. In some areas, including south-east Queensland, the Corner Country and central Australia, the warming amounts to 1.5°C to 2°C over five decades.
  • new research shows that the number of days with record warm temperatures has more than doubled, while the number of days with record cold temperatures has more than halved.
  • over the past 40 years, Australian rainfall patterns have changed. Average annual rainfall in south-eastern Australia, the Murray-Darling Basin and eastern Queensland has declined, by up to 40 mm per decade in some areas. Rainfall in north-western Australia has increased by a similar proportion.
  • since 1993, sea levels around Australia have risen by 1.5 to three millimetres per year in the south, and 7-10 mm in the north. Since 1870, sea levels have risen by about 200 mm.
  • sea surface temperatures have increased by about 0.4°C in 50 years.
  • oceans absorb about 25 per cent of the carbon dioxide generated by humans, and about 40 per cent of this is absorbed by the Southern Ocean. CO2 makes oceans more acidic, inhibiting shell formation on marine animals—an effect already being observed in the ocean food chain.
  • in 2009, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels reached 386 parts per million, well outside the natural range that has existed for at least the past 800,000 years, and possibly the past 20 million years.
  • methane levels in the atmosphere have more than doubled since 1800.

“Climate change is real,” the statement concluded.

It repeated the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) conclusion that there is greater than 90 per cent certainty that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have been responsible for the warming observed since the middle of last century.

Print
Increase Text Size
Decrease Text Size

comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
The temperature goes up and down as do sea levels and every other climate indicator. Yet the scientists have been caught fabricating data, cherry picking climate stations, ignoring urban concrete jungle stations which give false results as well as not putting out all data. Who would believe these slippery characters when they then postulate that man is causing the warming. They have made their bed so let them lay in it.
Posted by Bobby of Tara, 19/03/2010 2:10:43 PM
“Climate change is real,” the statement concluded Yep and where is your evidence that is being caused by humans, and not the Sixty-year climate cycle that has already happened three times within the instrument records. Trying to BS away the cooling between 1950 and 1970 is just plain stupid to many people can remember it.
Posted by Qlander, 19/03/2010 2:47:49 PM
The problem is the science now has a fanatical cult following some of whom exist inside the science community which has degraded the credibility of objectivity associated with any boring numbers. The fanatics solution of course is to make large offerings and sacrifices in the name of their new found dooms day religion.
Posted by let us pay, in the name of the farter the sun and the holy gas, 19/03/2010 3:07:49 PM
From the detailed archives data on the BOM website we see that the temperatures only went up in towns with airports (due to the measuring stations becoming surrounded with increasing amounts of tarmac and traffic), while temperaures in towns without airports remained static and that rainfall in the Murray-Darling basin was greater in the last 50 years than the previous 50 years. There are so many problems with the data such as urban heat island effect, changing instrumentation, missing data, altered data (NOAA increased the Darwin temps upwards by nearly 2 degrees) tidal gauges sinking into the mud, that nobody could be sure of anything, let alone whether human CO2 emissions caused any warming. Remember that most data only shows a 0.7 degree warming in the last 100 years, which is within the expected normal range. This new statement from the CSIRO and BOM is laughably out of date and stands on shaky ground. After climategate the world has moved on, and yet they remain standing at the platform yelling at the gravy train to come back. It would have been more useful if they could have predicted the massive wet season this year for at least one part of the country.
Posted by doctor rob, 19/03/2010 3:43:08 PM
Bobby, You say that temps and sea level go up and down. Then you say scientists are slippery. When I saw those people burn to death in their cars I felt very sorry for them. But then I imagined that if they were you, then I would say good riddance. The people who now get swept away from climate change should no longer deserve our pity, nor will I lift a finger to help anyone who fails to see what is going on around them. If you're stupid enough to build a new home behind an old failing levee, and there has been a ten year drought in your region, please don't ask for any help from me. In the bible it talks about ignorance of the word of god, and in courts they talk about ignorance of the law being no excuse. The scientists have made the case, now it's time to let climate change roll over those in the way, and shed not a tear for the ignorant denialists.
Posted by Earl_E, 20/03/2010 3:28:36 AM
The only way they can keep science as science is to keep to the facts and embrace skepticism as a hallmark of scientific enquiry. As long as they want to be above scrutiny and constantly have press releases telling us they are ok then their credibility will only continue to crumble
Posted by twawki, 20/03/2010 8:42:00 AM
The CSIRO an BOM Has lost its credibility in following the Government agenda unquestioningly and not standing up to them, they in effect became part of the political process and as such can no longer be trusted as scientific organisations.
Posted by Alan Mears, 20/03/2010 11:17:18 AM
Matthew – err…….excuse me but, exactly where in the joint statement does it say – “CAUGHT off-balance by the politicisation of climate science, Australia’s major climate agencies are trying to wrest the global warming debate away from opinion columns, blog sites and the front steps of Parliament House, and bring it all back to the science.” – Based on the balance of probabilities, I think this a personal and political opinion of your own.
Posted by Hide the Decline, 20/03/2010 12:12:05 PM
In fact, no climate data has been fabricated -- your belief is founded on misreading the meaning of the emails of 2 scientists. Their data subsequently coincided with data from other independent analysis and their 'adjusting' of the data to correct for abnormalities is as common in science as sand is to the beach. This is one reason why science is peer-reviewed and always trying to increase the 'confidence level' in their data. The last IPCC was the 4th such one and each builds on the work of the last -- always 'adjusting' to become more accurate. Think how absurd it would be for 2 scientists to try and hoodwink an entire world of scientists -- and for what benefit or good reason? Conspiracy theories on global warming are just plain stupid.
Posted by drewski, 20/03/2010 5:48:53 PM
Matt Cawood offers a very clear summary of the CSIRO/BOM document, and (no surprise) the conclusions are resisted by the usual crew of deniers. Bobby and Qlander have no (zero) scientific evidence for their assertions, while climate change is attested by thousands of research papers based on observation and evidence. Have a look at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2632717/?tool=pmcentrez for a good overview.
Posted by nico, 21/03/2010 9:46:14 AM
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5  |  next >

post a comment


Screen name  *
Email address  *
Remember me?
Comment  *
 
We invite and encourage our readers to post comments. Comments are moderated and will appear as soon as our editor has approved them. When posting comments you agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions.
Photo: iStock.
Photo: iStock.
Related Coverage
ARTICLES
MULTIMEDIA
18 March, 2010
POLL
Q: Do you support the move to introduce an import risk analysis on beef from BSE-affected countries?

Yes
(74.6%)

No
(22.4%)

Uncommitted
(3.1%)

Total Votes: 389
Poll Date: 15 March, 2010

Most popular articles

ELDERS NEWS MREC SJ



 SEND...
 SAVE...
 SHARE...