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 Ethanol has little impact on US food prices 

Ethanol has little impact on US food prices

14 Apr, 2009 06:19 AM
THE US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has released a report that shows ethanol has a minimal impact on the price for food.

The CBO estimated how much of the rise in food prices between April 2007 and April 2008 was due to an increase in the production of ethanol - and their figures show that expanded production of ethanol contributed only between 0.5 and 0.8 percentage points of the 5.1pc increase in food prices measured by the consumer price index.

Over the same period, other factors had a greater effect on food prices than did the use of ethanol as a motor fuel.

"The report released by the Congressional Budget Office confirms what we've known for some time – the impact of ethanol production on food prices is minimal and that energy was the main driver in the rise of food prices," said Growth Energy CEO Tom Buis.

"But now that corn and energy prices have fallen dramatically, we hope CBO will look at why grocery prices have not dropped accordingly.

"Growth Energy has called on Congress to investigate food prices so we can get to the bottom of this issue," Mr Buis said.

Energy prices do seem to be the major culprit in raising the price of food.

After examining approximately 25 food price studies and conducting their own analysis, a team of economists at Purdue estimated that energy prices accounted for 75pc of the increase in corn prices.

Excessive speculation in the commodities market also played a significant role, helping to drive up the costs of almost every commodity traded, including corn, coffee, and crude oil.

The CBO report also looked at ethanol's role in reducing greenhouse gases and the amount of gasoline consumed.

Using data from a study conducted by the Argonne National Laboratory, the report said that the production, distribution, and consumption of ethanol will create about 20pc fewer greenhouse gas emissions than the equivalent processes for gasoline.

It also found that use of ethanol reduced gasoline consumption in the United States last year by 4pc.

For 2008, such a finding translates into a reduction of about 14 million metric tons of carbon dioxide and equivalent gases.

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I have two comments on this report out of the USA which is not applicable to Australian agricultural conditions. Firstly, the US has exportable surpluses of grain year in, year out so their grain prices are set by world prices. In our Australian Eastern States, our harvests are variable and with an additional demand of a mandated, subsidised grain ethanol industry, shortages with import parity prices will happen more often, a concern for import competing, exporting grain end users and our consumers. During these periods, food price rises can be attributed to grain ethanol production here in Australia.

Secondly, please have a look at the CBOT Commodity News For Tomorrow. The US EPA is looking at greenhouse gas reductions of soy biodiesel and corn ethanol to see if they qualify for their mandate. On April 6th, it was reported that soy biodiesel may not meet it's mandate requirement of 50% reduction, indirect emissions dropping it's reduction from 78% to 27%. This morning, April 14th, there is a further report from this source that the US EPA may disallow corn ethanol from the ethanol mandate for similar reasons, that it's required greenhouse reduction may actually be below the required 20%. Where does this leave the recently mandated NSW E10? I suggest with very few legs to stand on.

Posted by Two Bob, 15/04/2009 8:43:32 AM
Australia has the highest food prices of most industrialised countries including the USA and UK. This is due to the supermarket duopoly and has nothing to do with farm gate prices. The link between ethanol and food prices is a myth that has no basis in fact, and when the facts are presented as in the US report, other myths are invented by those with self-interests. The economic, social and environmental benefits of ethanol far outweigh any negative impacts. For example, the ethanol industry will enable the recycling of nutrients back to farms from value-adding to the wet distillers grain. Exported grain is nutrient lost to Australia.
Posted by Mangiri, 15/04/2009 9:03:38 AM
Actually the largest fuel ethanol producer in Australia (Manildra) produces their ethanol as a byproduct of their wheat starch production. The ethanol plant was initially put in to help solve the problem of starch pollution in the wastewater. CSR, the second largest fuel ethanol producer (and the largest ethanol producer in the country) produce from sugarcane molasses - a byproduct of the sugar industry. Biodiesel is produced in Australia from used cooking oil and from non-food grade tallow. Very little is made from canola oil - it is not economically viable. CSIRO have shown that biodiesel made from used cooking oil has a 90% lifecycle greenhouse reduction compared with diesel, while biodiesel made from tallow has a 55% lifecycle greenhouse gas reduction. These figures are consistent with international literature. To grow, both the ethanol and biodiesel industries recognise their need to invest heavily in 2nd generation technologies (e.g. cellulose for ethanol and microalgae for biodiesel) and you will find that they are doing this, with assistance from the Commonwealth.
Posted by Biofuel advocate, 15/04/2009 10:03:09 AM
Biofuel advocate, I think you meant Manildra's ethanol production is a byproduct of wheat gluten production. If that is so you may be correct at Manildra's current production levels, about 100mL ethanol. The planned expansion to help fill the increased ethanol mandate is to produce 300mL ethanol. For your statement that '(Manildra) produces their ethanol as a byproduct of their wheat starch production' to hold true, Manildra will have to triple gluten production, something I cannot see in my reading of the planning submission. If the gluten production is not tripled then the increase in ethanol production simply comes from the conversion of grain to ethanol and DDGS. It is not a byproduct but is directly impacting on food supply.
Posted by Two Bob, 15/04/2009 2:07:11 PM

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