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Food prices will continue to grow

02 Nov, 2010 08:34 AM
IF CONSUMERS are unhappy about food prices now, they won't like what's coming.

Population rises are just one of a range of factors listed by economist Professor Claudio Malagoli as contributing to an ongoing escalation in food prices - although not necessarily with any price benefit to farmers locked into a system geared only for pushing down prices.

  • By 2020, just a decade away, the world's population could be approaching eight billion.
  • In 2007, for the first time, most of the world's population was to be found in cities. This creates issues with the energy costs of distribution, with food losses and wastage in preparation, and with the disposal of food packaging, all of which have a bearing on price.
  • Climate change is already producing unprecedented climatic adversity around the world, reducing the reliability of farming.
  • Growing desire for meat protein that is met by intensive feeding, and a push toward biofuels, is increasing the amount of cropland harvested for reasons that don't directly meet human nutritional needs. A calorie of energy from animal protein takes eight calories of energy of vegetable origin to produce, the professor said.
  • Farmland is being irreparably being paved over with cities, highways and other infrastructure. Cities were always located in areas of prime fertility, which means the world's best farmland is being lost.
  • Today's farming methods are dependent on fossil fuels, a resource apparently in rapid decline.
  • Land-poor countries like China and some of the Middle Eastern States are securing large tracts of farmland in other countries, including Australia, compromising the future food sovereignty of those countries.
  • Because of the inequity of wealth across the planet, continued price rises on globally-traded food just push food out of reach of the world's poor. About a billion people are now estimated to be chronically malnourished, 60 per cent of them women and children.
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    comments


    Date: Newest first | Oldest first
    The cheap food imported into Australia at local growers expense will dry up. These export countries will retain them for their own use. No local growers left,then what?
    Posted by Judas, 2/11/2010 11:27:38 AM
    Australias agricultural industry will be the next resource boom within the next 5 years. Agriculture is totally foreign to most city dwellers (and politicians) and the fallout from the rapid rise in commodity prices, exports and land will be long felt unless government starts protecting Australian farmland now.
    Posted by bigdog, 2/11/2010 7:06:14 PM
    Then we will eat the remaining farmers,just like locusts.
    Posted by bullysbull, 2/11/2010 7:25:31 PM
    and our govt just stands by and lets it happen we are turning ino to net importers of food that we used to produce food security we use to have it once
    Posted by shaun, 2/11/2010 9:20:26 PM
    YOUR government decided that tariffs were bad and free trade was good. This simply means that now all products must come from the cheapest source in the world. For us farmers that also means that only huge monoculture farming is viable. You voted for it dudes, get over it.
    Posted by phil, 3/11/2010 7:41:04 AM
    .... and don't forget that the most viable prime agricultural land in the future will be in Tasmania, but current policies mean that we are better off turning it in to plantations to make toilet paper for the Japanese.
    Posted by phil, 3/11/2010 7:43:19 AM
    what about...... more food and less cotton, more food and less bio-fuel (unless it's a by-product ), more vegetarians and less meat-eaters, less obesity, less over-eating, less people, farming currently unfarmed sustainable areas, intensive glasshouse production, aquaculture.....don't give up yet, I was only born last week. Let's talk about over-breeding by some ethnic cultures.
    Posted by sea-changer, 3/11/2010 8:37:28 AM
    At the end of the day, buy local otherwise there will be no choice but to buy imported produce. So think twice about buying that Chinese apple at the supermarkets. Better still think twice about buying produce from a supermarket, that sells the Chinese apple in the first place, go down to your local fruit and veg shop, which will source local produce over imported. If we continue to make these choices over a few cents or a couple of dollars, then soon there will be no choice.
    Posted by Cas, 3/11/2010 5:47:46 PM

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