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 Study finds China, not biofuels, causing grain shortage 

Study finds China, not biofuels, causing grain shortage

2/05/2008 10:08:00 AM
A change in Chinese meat consumption habits since 1995 is diverting eight billion bushels of grain per year to livestock feed and could empty global grain stocks by September 2010, according to a new study from Biofuels Digest.

The study, "Meat vs Fuel: Grain use in the US and China, 1995-2008", concluded that a complete shutdown of the US ethanol industry would extend the deadline only until 2013.

"It's not food, it's not fuel, it's China," said Jim Lane, editor of Biofuels Digest and author of the report.

The study determined that China's meat consumption since 1995 has increased by 112pc to 53 kilograms per person per year.

The study found that the US increased corn production by 157 million tonnes of corn since 1995: 31m net tonnes of grain went to support US ethanol production, and 27mt supported a 15pc increase in US population during the period.

By contrast, the study projected that livestock grain demand to supply Chinese meat consumption increased by 199mt between 1995 and 2007.

"Given that the US population grew 15pc, the 82pc increase in US corn production left plenty for people, plenty for livestock, and plenty for ethanol," said Lane.

"The bad news is that we have a global fuel and food crisis of the first magnitude."

* Find the full study at www.biofuelsdigest.com.

SOURCE: Feedstuffs, USA.

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Comments


With our burgeoning population, feeding the world will become harder and harder.

It will be exacerbated by the increasing wealthy in countries like China who are starting to crave "western" diets with more meat!

The cost of providing this meat will cost the environment more and more as more of our land is used for raising animals and their food.

Unless there are some sacrifices made, and some examples set, feeding people meat will be like ripping up the floor-boards of the house to keep warm!

We cannot afford our livestock industries as it is.

Our own Murray Darling river is suffering from over-use.

Until our diets become part of climate change strategies, and more people make the sacrifice to reduce animal-based products, the situation will become more and more drastic.

Posted by Milly on 3/05/2008 3:03:24 PM
It's easy enough to blame China for world food shortages, it's a global thing and we all need to appreciate the farming communities all over the world and not criticize every little thing they do.

With animal farming there are those who say we should let all animals roam free in their natural habitat.

It sounds good but it's a fact that humans have relied on animal in one form or another since the dawn of time, for clothing and food.

Who is going to go and tell a lion or dingo they can't hunt any more cause it's inhumane?

Some People also get the wrong idea when we use fertilizers, herbicides and fungicides.

These products are needed sometimes to produce a decent crop.

Most farmers want to look after their land for the future generations, because farmers are essential for the world's future.

Without farmers it's every one for themselves.

We need to trust the farmers.

They have been doing it the longest and know what they are doing.

Posted by dusty gal on 5/05/2008 7:39:15 AM
We certainly do need to trust farmers.

It's the insidious encroachment of chemical, agribusiness companies misleading good honest people (farmers) about the real effects of the use of GM and Glyphosates(however it's spelt) - eg. supposedly bio-degradable and many other instances.

Posted by Gordons on 5/05/2008 8:36:46 AM
For heaven’s sake, 'dusty gal'; I started off by agreeing with your "It's easy enough to blame China for world food shortages, it's a global thing" but then you seemed to part ways with logic.

No one with an ounce of sense wants to see all the animals currently bred for food let loose.

I agree that humans have relied on animals in one form or another for clothing and food for many years – though our consumption of meat has rocketed in the last century.

What we need to do is gradually move away from that reliance.

We need to gradually change to a society built more on the use of plant foods and fibres.

This will not result in unwanted animals roaming free – they will not be bred. They will not exist.

Farmers will adjust to a shrinking demand.

What lions or dingos do is entirely irrelevant. They have no choice.

They, as far as we know, have no capacity to choose.

We humans can and must decide to stop exploiting our fellow earthlings.

It is inhumane, it is destroying our environment and it is massively inefficient.

Posted by Snyder on 5/05/2008 9:19:44 AM
erm...... look who authorised this study... the biofuels industry.

I agree that the world is entering an even worse crisis than we have been creating since WW1, and that we are facing a fuel and food catastrophe for our present way of life and population levels.

but let's not confuse this with being an unbiased study!!

it's the first level response to negative media, driven, not by concern for lil ol' us, but the bottom line --$ profit.

Posted by MaiaJ on 5/05/2008 4:56:02 PM
If the Chinese are lot feeding their stock we may have a problem.

If not, perhaps we could introduce them to Tagasaste tree lucerne.

The stuff grows anywhere and you can run 2 cows per acre all year round on it.

Maybe better if you increase its density.

Only needs a small dose of fertiliser each year to keep it tasting fresh otherwise it tastes rank.

Posted by Will on 5/05/2008 5:46:58 PM
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China's demand for meat and not ethanol production is the real reason for the global grain shortage.
China's demand for meat and not ethanol production is the real reason for the global grain shortage.

Q: What do you think is the key driver of the current global food shortage?

Seasonal conditions affecting yields
(9.3%)

Ethanol diverting food to fuel production
(8.8%)

The insatiable demand of China
(7.4%)

Rising costs of production
(6.4%)

A combination of all of the above
(68.1%)

Total Votes: 408
Poll Date: 2/05/2008

27/08/2008 | IF farmers are wondering what the new look Senate will mean for them, they should just take a look at politics in NSW and the behind-closed-doors relationship between Labor and the Greens for a taste of what might be in store Federally.
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