A change in Chinese meat consumption habits since 1995 is diverting eight billion bushels of grain per year to livestock feed and could empty global grain stocks by September 2010, according to a new study from Biofuels Digest.
The study, "Meat vs Fuel: Grain use in the US and China, 1995-2008", concluded that a complete shutdown of the US ethanol industry would extend the deadline only until 2013.
"It's not food, it's not fuel, it's China," said Jim Lane, editor of Biofuels Digest and author of the report.
The study determined that China's meat consumption since 1995 has increased by 112pc to 53 kilograms per person per year.
The study found that the US increased corn production by 157 million tonnes of corn since 1995: 31m net tonnes of grain went to support US ethanol production, and 27mt supported a 15pc increase in US population during the period.
By contrast, the study projected that livestock grain demand to supply Chinese meat consumption increased by 199mt between 1995 and 2007.
"Given that the US population grew 15pc, the 82pc increase in US corn production left plenty for people, plenty for livestock, and plenty for ethanol," said Lane.
"The bad news is that we have a global fuel and food crisis of the first magnitude."
* Find the full study at www.biofuelsdigest.com.
SOURCE: Feedstuffs, USA.